NY Mayor Seeks to Ease Aid Requirements for Childless Poor

Mayor Seeks to Lower a Barrier for Food Stamps – New York Times

The waiver now being sought by the city, which is expected to be approved by the federal government, would affect adults ages 18 to 49 who are not responsible for a child or incapacitated relative and are not physically or mentally unfit for work. The federal welfare overhaul of 1996 imposed a three-month limit on food stamps in any three-year period for this group, known as able-bodied adults without dependents.
The overhaul allowed states to request a waiver of the three-month time limit for residents of areas with relatively high unemployment rates. Most big cities that have been eligible currently receive the waiver, including Chicago, Seattle and Washington.
“New York has been unusual in being one of the only cities in the country eligible for the waiver that has not had it,” said Robert Greenstein, executive director of the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, a liberal research group in Washington.

This is an issue that has long bothered me – if you’re poor and have children and you’re not working, you qualify for more benefits than if you’re poor without dependentsm and not working. Some cities had started to address this by applying for the waiver on the 3 month limit, and New York is finally making the move to request it. It’s an issue of fairness – a single homeless or indigent person has a lot fewer resources, and probably is lacking family to fall back on, too.

Eldercare: Another Country

Navigating the Emotional Terrain of Our Elders

Another Country: Navigating the Emotional Terrain of Our Elders

This is the last paragraph of the first chapter:

Freud taught our generation the importance of parental love. We know that parental love is formative, but no one has taught us about the importance of grandparental love. Especially as we get older, the bonding and nurturing go both ways. Connections help our children, our parents, and us, now and in the future. Only by caring for our parents will we be able to ask our children for help later. And only because of our children’s love of the old will they be able to say yes.

The other night, my husband David and I stopped at the local big-name bookstore for a browse. I was intent on finding books about the topic of eldercare – in other words, I was taking the typically Boomerish tactic of consulting a how-to book. Reading the frickin’ manual, in other words, might help me figure out Life, the Universe, and Everything.

I went up and down the aisles, looking for books that I vaguely knew must be there. Nope, not in Self-Help. Not in Relationships. Not in Psychology. Not in the Various Diseases for Dummies section, either, not that many people consider old age a disease, exactly. Glanced at the Health section, but that mostly looked like “how to stay healthy” books. After a third pass, I finally spotted the small subsection within Health (surprisingly small, I thought) that pertained to my subject of interest.

I picked up Another Country and recognized it as one of those books on my “I’d like to read that, but I’ll wait until it comes out in paperback” list. The author, Dr. Mary Pipher, also wrote Reviving Ophelia some years back, parts of which I’d read when I was hanging out in a Seattle bookstore. The latter book is about the problem of why adolescent girls in this country go from being confident, carefree children to self-doubting, depressed, image-obsessed young women when they reach puberty. I remember then that I was trying to make sense of my own adolescence, which wasn’t great and not the stuff of happy memories for the most part. Now I’m more interested in somebody else’s major life stage, and the difficulty of talking about it. Which is probably much more healthy and worthwhile.

Pipher is a psychologist whose work with her clients has resulted in several major books about relationships, life stages, and family connections. I’ve only read 2 or 3 chapters thus far in Another Country, and already I’ve found a lot of helpful insights. She uses a lot of clients’ stories to illustrate how they see things, and how the people in their lives relate to them and try to help them cope with the difficult transition to old age.

Actually, the concept I’ve found most illuminating is the distinction she makes between people she calls “young-old” and the folks she calls “old-old.” The young-old are those lucky elders who are still healthy and vigorous, but they have the time and resources to travel as much as they like, or to volunteer, or to pick up and move to a nice retirement community in a warm state. But then the inevitable transistion from young- to old- looms, and the young-old find that something can happen to make them old-old pretty damn quick, like a broken hip, or the loss of a spouse that carried most of the load.

Another idea from the book that’s making the light bulb go on is the idea of how important connectedness is to people – even more so to the people of the generation now in its 80’s and 90’s. They grew up at a time before television, air conditioning, and electric garage-door openers served to isolate neighbors from each other. They grew up at a time when entire extended families – grandparents, adult children, grandchildren, and cousins lived within a few miles of each other, or even within walking distance. People grew up in a comforting network of interlocking family ties, with memories of holiday dinners gathered around the table, and they were in and out of each others’ houses and visiting over at the neighbors’ houses. Children spent all their time wandering the neighborhoods, making their own empires and shifting alliances of “kids from our street” against the kids from a couple of blocks away (but not in the gang-turf sense). I used to think a lot about how different my own childhood was from that of kids today (and my own lack of interest in kids doesn’t prevent me from feeling sorry for them, with their over-scheduled, over-protected lives).

So far, the book makes a persuasive case for the importance of connections between the very old and the very young – and that the lack of these connections leads to a variety of social ills. I think there might be something in this, but have yet to finish the book to find out more. The examples used in the book are case studies that are compilations of real people’s stories, in order to protect their privacy.

In my own life, I had a distinct lack of grandparents. Although I’ve heard stories about them all my life, the big age difference between me and my older sisters meant that all the grandparents were gone, or nearly gone, the day I was born. I remember asking my dad on a family car trip where all the grandparents were, because I’d recently become aware that the other kids in the neighborhood we lived in in Albuquerque had grandmas and grandpas, and I wanted some, too. Thus Pop had to explain about how my his parents were in “heaven,” which sounded very nice, except you couldn’t call there on a telephone. I remember thinking this seemed like a very old-fashioned place to live if there wasn’t even a phone. My maternal grandmother died soon after I was born, or just before (can’t remember which) but I think Mom told me that her mom knew I was on the way, at least. I do have very, very faint memories of an older couple called the Sodes who looked after me when I was very, very small. I called them Mr Grandpa Sode, and Mrs. Grandpa Sode. They lived in a big old house with an old-fashioned yard out back, and there were funny old toys that belonged to their own grandchildren that I got to play with. The rooms inside included an old parlour with a foot-pedal organ that seemed to spark a memory, and a bathroom upstairs had a huge old Victorian bathtub with big lions’ feet. I can’t remember for sure, but I think the Sodes lived in Grand Junction, which meant that I would have known them when I was about… 2? 3? They were neighbors, and when I was a baby Mom still owned the hair salon, and she would leave me with them. We went back to Grand Junction often enough for visits, though, that I might have seen them every year, so that I might be remembering long-ago visits, rather than remembering thing that happened to me before I was walking and talking.

There were some older great-uncles that I remember meeting, and I had a pair of elderly aunts (Mom was the baby of her family, along with her older brother). That was about it for family connections with the aged. As for neighbors, though, we had quite a collection to choose from. We spent a lot of time with an older neighbor lady who lived across the street for years, Mrs. Boyce. She was a kind thing, but the sort of older lady who never learned how to drive, never learned how to handle money, never worked outside of the home. Which, of course, did not prepare her at all for widowhood; she was also a diabetic and was losing her sight, so we took it upon ourselves to visit with her, and take her out with us for big-time jaunts to the burger joint and to the store. We often used to set up aluminum lawn chairs and sit on Mrs. Boyce’s tiny concrete stoop, which was surrounded by wrought-iron railings. Her house and my mom’s house date from that post-war era when large, comfortably shaded porches were thought to be old-fashioned; Mom’s porch is little more than a large bare square of cement, with one step down to the driveway. Mrs. Boyce’s porch was a bit larger, but still crowded if there were two chairs on it. However, this didn’t stop us from gathering there and visiting with her in the cool of the evening (neither of our houses were air-conditioned). One happy, hilarious evening, one of my nieces somehow got her head stuck in between the railings and was left standing there like a convict, with her head on the wrong side of the iron bars from her body. We laughed ourselves into hysteria trying to figure out how she’d gotten her head stuck. It took a while, but eventually we realized she was small enough to slip her entire body through, but her head was too big and stuck like a cork. This is no doubt a painful memory for her… I shall accept tributes and bribes at my usual mailing address. Anyway, we enjoyed spending time with Mrs. Boyce and tried our best to help her become more independent and self-reliant, qualities that my mom always had in abundance that Mrs. Boyce had in any great degree. Later on, her daughter-in-law was one of my favorite teachers in junior high, another connection that I remember enjoying a lot.

After Mrs. Boyce died and I moved away from Salt Lake, Mom and I would still have conversations about her immediate neighbors – who was still there, who had died, who had moved in to take their place. She told me just today that the little girl who moved in to Mrs. Boyce’s old house all those years ago recently returned for a visit, all grown up and with a child of her own. As you might think, she made a point of stopping at Mom’s house to see if the kind, funny old neighbor lady was still there, and introducing her to her child.

Contrast that with my own neighborhood: I know the names of a couple of the neighbor dogs, but have to introduce myself to the neighbors because I see them so seldom – usually about once a year or less. In spite of, or perhaps because of my childhood spent exploring other people’s yards in an area two blocks on either side of my mom’s house, plus all the yards along either of my two possible routes to school, I speak pretty sharply to kids who wander into my yard uninvited. For one thing, we don’t have anything of interest – no good trees for climbing, no interesting rock gardens with ponds, no droopy honeysuckle bushes to sit near. Only last night some kid was riding a bike down the sidewalk as I returned from a night event at 9 o’clock, when it was fully dark. He rode up onto my driveway as I was about to turn, so I stopped until he was well clear. He wasn’t wearing reflective tape and didn’t have a light, and he wobbled off toward the corner. As I pulled into the driveway, he turned around, and rode back right over my lawn. I had the presence of mind to roll the window down and call out “Do you mind? Please don’t ride your bike over my lawn.” All I got was a sheepish “sorry,” from him. He was barely visible in the dark. I called out, “Well, ride safely – you need a light.” And then I pulled into the garage and lowered the door – that was my first neighborly encounter in… several months, I think. I occasionally talk to the people next door, because they have a lovely big old golden retriever. And there’s a new family across the street that seems friendly. Perhaps if we’d gotten a dog instead of a cat we might meet more neighbors – but we had already decided that a dog was harder to leave alone all day with our hours, even if crate-trained.

I don’t have a lot of other “connections,” other than David’s family; most of my friends from college are scattered all over, and I’ve lost contact with quite a few people because of moves. My connection-less, socially isolated life probably mystifies David’s parents no end, because they have a large circle of friends and are often scheduled months in advance. That’s another example of a generational difference of experience when it comes to connecting with people over the length of your adult life, I guess. I do have some ties to the people at Holy Moly – I’ll see them again tonight as I have seen them several nights this Holy Week (tonight is the Great Vigil, our big celebration of Easter, so I’ll be there until fairly late).

One thing I’ve noticed, that I’d love to photograph, is the relationship between one of the oldest parishioners, and one of the youngest. Billie is about my mom’s age, lively, feisty, with white hair and paper-thin, translucent fair skin, and she’s also fiercely independent. She still drives, but is a bit wobbly when she walks. I gave her an arm last night as we made our way down the steps of St Columba’s after the Good Friday service. Joshua is about 7, thin, quiet, sensitive, loves serving as a junior acolyte, and he has black, close-cropped hair and skin like coffee with cream. The thing about Billie and Joshua is that they love each other so much, that when Billie arrives, Joshua lights up and goes over to get her. He likes to sit next to her and lean his head on her shoulder. It’s such a beautiful thing, and of course impossible to photograph.

I’m going to try to get to know some of the older members of Holy Moly better, if only because it’s good practice for learning the language of another country. A second (or third) language is always handy to avoid miscommunication.

Maundy Thursday

Flickr

This year’s Altar of Repose at Holy Moly. It symbolizes Christ in the tomb, and a vigil takes place that lasts at least a couple of hours (theoretically, until midnight on Maundy Thursday of Holy Week). It’s dark, and lovely, and sad, and beautiful. There’s even a monstrance with a big Host wafer in it; we’re pretty High Church at Holy Moly and like things done proper.

Via: Flickr Title: Maundy thursday By: GinnyRED57
Originally uploaded: 13 Apr ’06, 8.52pm CDT PST

Life

Flickr

Meet Mrs. Goose, our newest parishioner at Holy Moly. She’s a bit shy and more than a little defensive; she’s got five or six eggs and has chased at least one friendly greeter off, hissing and flapping her wings.

One Sunday morning she may wander in the open door, and then the Sunday School ladies will be in a quandary about what to offer her kids for Christian Education.

Via: Flickr Title: Life By: GinnyRED57
Originally uploaded: 13 Apr ’06, 7.01pm CDT PST

Oh, Three Or Four Or Five Or Six

I can’t help but be reminded of a stupid mountain lion character that was a hapless foil of Bugs Bunny’s. When Bugs asks “How many lumps?” he’s holding a big wooden mallet. The stupid mountain lion always answers “Oh, t’ree or four” and immediately gets pummeled, even when wearing a saucepan as a helmet. The lumps swell and lift the cooking pot off his head. Funny when you’re twelve, still funny now.

This couple seems to be in the same mold – about as stupid, and getting almost as many lumps for it.

fakepreggo.jpg

Apparently, she started out with just one, really really big lump. God only knows what’s going on under there.

Kansas City Star | 04/13/2006 | Couple apologizes for sextuplet hoax VIDEO

The scheme began to unravel Monday when The Examiner, a newspaper that serves eastern Jackson County, ran a front-page story that showed the Eversons smiling and holding up six new infant outfits.
Helen Brown, manager of Clem’s Drive Inn (emphasis Blogula Rasa’s) in Independence, said she was immediately suspicious.
Sarah Everson worked there for eight months last year.
“Every boyfriend who came along, she was always (saying she was) pregnant,” Brown said. “Then the boyfriend would go away, and we never heard anything else about the baby.”
In December, Brown said, Everson came in and told her she had given birth to five babies and provided names and weights.
“It wasn’t that she was a bad employee,” Brown said. “It was just that she always had a lot of drama in her life.”
Ambrose said the investigation had shown that Everson had used the multiple birth story several times before.
In January, when the couple was behind in rent, Everson wrote a letter to their landlord, asking for patience because of the challenges of having five new babies.

This is from another paper, the Hamilton Spectator:

Hours before admitting it was a scam, Sarah Everson showed a reporter pictures of her in maternity clothes, her baring a huge pregnant-looking midsection, even sonogram images she claimed were of her infants. She showed off a tiny nursery, a closet full of baby clothes and the tiny diapers premature newborns must wear.

She said the entire story of her children’s births was being kept secret by a court order enacted because a member of her husband’s family was trying to kill the Eversons and their new sextuplets.

“I’m so afraid they’re not going to make it,” she sobbed. “Nobody understands how hard this is. I know that they’re here. I know what I had to go through to get them here.”

Sarah Everson said a detective began questioning her Tuesday evening; Bradley and Ambrose said the Eversons were interviewed at the police station for about an hour, during which they revealed the story was a scam. They were released pending charges.

Reached by phone late Tuesday, Sarah Everson offered no explanation. “I’m not talking to anybody right now,” she said, “because nobody gets it (emphasis Blogula Rasa’s).”

The website soliciting gifts was taken down Tuesday night.

Wow, she’s right. I’m sure no one is capable of getting it. My favorite part is still how her old boss at Clem’s (!) Drive Inn knew right off that Sarah was up to her old tricks. Interesting how the number kept climbing – I wonder if she started with one, and with every subsequent faked pregancy, added another?

There is no limit to how truly weird people can be.

Washington Chorus: Electrifying

ionarts

The start of the Gloria was more ceremonial than alarming. The opening orchestral jolts were not delivered with the expected energy. However, the first entry of the full chorus projected so much power that I was “electrified.” In the Laudamus Te, Shafer demonstrated that he could do anything with this huge body of voices. The movement was effervescently performed, with a marvelous lightness of touch. The singing was so gorgeous that the audience impetuously began to applaud at the movement’s end.

My friend Debbie sings in the Washington Chorus, and I enjoy our long cozy chats by phone about the pieces they’re working on, upcoming concert tours, and details about how things are done behind the scenes. I hope they do a recording of the Poulenc Gloria, because I’d like to be electrified too!

Ominous and Repellent, or Inspiring and Historic?

sisepuedewashington.jpg

Immigrants Rally in Scores of Cities for Legal Status – New York Times

Talk of the marches has been burning up the airwaves on talk radio and cable news networks and has appeared in Internet blogs and conservative publications. Rich Lowry, the editor of National Review, described the protests with marchers carrying foreign flags as “ominous” in “their hint of a large, unassimilated population existing outside America’s laws and exhibiting absolutely no sheepishness about it.”

Brit Hume, the news anchor on Fox News, described the marchers, particularly those carrying Mexican flags, as “a repellent spectacle.”

Really, Mr. Hume? Your perception of reality is somewhat different from mine. I find it inspiring and historic.

What about this?

In Houston, where thousands of immigrants chanted “U.S.A.! U.S.A.!” as they rallied, Staff Sgt. Jose Soto of the Marines marched in his blue uniform. He said he had fought in Iraq and was in Houston to visit his parents, who came to this country as illegal immigrants.

“I’ve fought for freedom overseas,” said Sergeant Soto, 30, who plans to return to Iraq in July. “Now I’m fighting for freedom here.”

Eldercare: Technology

My team leader pointed me in the direction of an interesting article in the Sunday Times about technological solutions to the problem of looking after elders who need a little extra help so they can stay in their own homes as long as practicable. My husband David might find some of the really high-tech stuff interesting, but I’m more interested in the simple, least intrusive solutions. Personal autonomy and empowerment are important, in my view. I’m not interested in an electronic nanny or a computerized tattletale system.

Chicago Tribune | Keeping track of Dad

Clearly the biggest worry associated with much of this technology is the loss of privacy. Philipose, the researcher at the Seattle test apartment, said early demonstrations of the technology revealed that many seniors are very concerned about who would have access to such detailed information about their daily lives. Some insist that they would remove the bracelet–the device necessary to trigger the sensors on objects they touch–when they want privacy. He told the story of one person who said she ate chocolate cake for breakfast and would do whatever necessary to hide that from her children.

Exercising privacy right

At Oatfield Estates, one resident knows well how intrusive technology can sometimes feel. Though Lester “Ray” Croft prefaces his story by calling his daughter a “lovely sweetie,” he describes how one of his children went too far (emphasis mine: need to remember to make this point later) with the family portal and her monitoring of his ever-increasing weight.

“I had to fire her from being able to look in on me,” he said. “Oh, I wasn’t too popular over that for a while.”

Yet the technology can be tweaked to deal with some privacy concerns. The video cameras in the Aware Home, for example, can be programmed to recognize and record only specific events–falls, for example, or medication consumption. And many seniors say they would take comfort in knowing there is the safety net of having someone keep a close eye on them.

“What we are finding is that, by and large, older adults seem willing to trade some measure of privacy in order to have the comfort of staying home,” Rogers said.

Barry Jacobson, who on Thursday afternoon had just finished checking on his father via Oatfield’s family portal, put it like this:

“In 20 or 30 years I’m going to want to know that my family is there watching out for me. At some point it’s not about privacy but about being connected.”

All this is leading up to something I won’t get into just yet, but it’s most convenient to make notes of the information I’m finding out by blogging it. Also: it’s easy to share it with and easy to come back later when it’s needed and find it. By chance I happened to use a category, Connections, that has never been that active, because I didn’t want to use the family-oriented one that might have seemed a more logical choice. I see now that I inadvertently chose the right categorization for the articles and thoughts and links that I’m gathering together.

I’ve got a lot of thoughts whirling around that I’ll eventually be writing up, but not blogging for a while yet. For now, I’m just browsing and gathering.

When I first read this article, I was interested in the high-tech toys, but a little appalled at how a person’s every move could potentially be logged. I think the only time this would ever be appropriate is in the case of an elder who was healthy enough to be at home, but mentally not able to keep themselves safe from harm. And frankly, if an event like a stove being turned on or refrigerator is opened at odd times has to be logged, it’s long past time for them to have in-home nurse-companion care or time for them to be “transitioned,” in the industry term, to a residential care facility of some kind.

And that’s what I’m NOT talking about.

David’s been a good sounding board and we’ve been batting different topics around; I wonder what he’ll think of some of the ‘techery in this article. I’m pretty sure the “portal” idea is out of the question, although it could be cool if it were two way and distant family members could chat so forth, but again… for what I’m working out, it’s not going to be practical.

Seymour Hersh: The Iran Plans

Boing Boing’s Xeni Jardin passed this one along – I’ve been waiting for Sy Hersh to drop another shoe ever since his post Abu Ghraib speaking engagements, when he warned of even bigger Big Bad Stuff to come. And advised an interviewer that if he had a second passport, to keep it handy.

You know… if Hersh is accurate about this story, the United States of America is contemplating using nuclear weapons against Iran, as one of many possible options (or threatened options) to pre-emptively end their own nuclear weapons program.

If this country drops the Bomb, it will no longer be my country. I will stop thinking it is my country if a third atomic flower blooms over a city populated by men and women, but perhaps it stopped being my country a long time ago.

Maybe it’s all an elaborate fakeout, designed to scare the Iranians into overthrowing their government and the Revolutionary Guards and chucking all their technical specs and centrifuges into a big pile and burning them. We can only hope this is the case… but even if it’s a psyche job, I think that there really are people in the Administration and the Pentagon who think tactical nukes are potentially useful tools. Else why the expense of having the Air Force flying practice ballistic bombing runs over the Arabian sea?

And let’s not forget the recent news of the new, updated nukes that we’ll probably be stockpiling Real Soon Now. Uh, huh. We’re not only assuming threatening postures, we’re rattling New and Improved atomic sabres at the Iranians, and that’s never a good sign, because hot new toys just beg to be taken out of the toybox to be played with.

There’re a lot of things to freak out about tonight. So let’s get started. This is the kind of thing that require large amounts of warm, sweetened milk and at least two squares of Valhrona Le Noir Extra Amer 85% Cocoa in order to achieve the proper lightly relaxed, yet tightly wired mental state. Of these things nightmares come.

The New Yorker: Fact

The Bush Administration, while publicly advocating diplomacy in order to stop Iran from pursuing a nuclear weapon, has increased clandestine activities inside Iran and intensified planning for a possible major air attack. Current and former American military and intelligence officials said that Air Force planning groups are drawing up lists of targets, and teams of American combat troops have been ordered into Iran, under cover, to collect targeting data and to establish contact with anti-government ethnic-minority groups. The officials say that President Bush is determined to deny the Iranian regime the opportunity to begin a pilot program, planned for this spring, to enrich uranium.

…(okay, even without nukes, we should not be poking that anthill with a stick marked “Special Forces.”)

There is a growing conviction among members of the United States military, and in the international community, that President Bush’s ultimate goal in the nuclear confrontation with Iran is regime change. Iran’s President, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, has challenged the reality of the Holocaust and said that Israel must be “wiped off the map.” Bush and others in the White House view him as a potential Adolf Hitler, a former senior intelligence official said. “That’s the name they’re using. They say, ‘Will Iran get a strategic weapon and threaten another world war?’

…(They don’t have Saddam Hussein to kick around any more. Osama who?)

In recent weeks, the President has quietly initiated a series of talks on plans for Iran with a few key senators and members of Congress, including at least one Democrat. A senior member of the House Appropriations Committee, who did not take part in the meetings but has discussed their content with his colleagues, told me that there had been “no formal briefings,” because “they’re reluctant to brief the minority. They’re doing the Senate, somewhat selectively.”

The House member said that no one in the meetings “is really objecting” to the talk of war. “The people they’re briefing are the same ones who led the charge on Iraq. At most, questions are raised: How are you going to hit all the sites at once? How are you going to get deep enough?” (Iran is building facilities underground.) “There’s no pressure from Congress” not to take military action, the House member added. “The only political pressure is from the guys who want to do it.” Speaking of President Bush, the House member said, “The most worrisome thing is that this guy has a messianic vision.”

…(Oh, perfect. Well, it’s not like we didn’t already know that.)

The Administration’s case against Iran is compromised by its history of promoting false intelligence on Iraq’s weapons of mass destruction. In a recent essay on the Foreign Policy Web site, entitled “Fool Me Twice,” Joseph Cirincione, the director for nonproliferation at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, wrote, “The unfolding administration strategy appears to be an effort to repeat its successful campaign for the Iraq war.” He noted several parallels:

The vice president of the United States gives a major speech focused on the threat from an oil-rich nation in the Middle East. The U.S. Secretary of State tells Congress that the same nation is our most serious global challenge. The Secretary of Defense calls that nation the leading supporter of global terrorism.

…(You’re right, this is all sooo familiar. Which is insulting, really. Let’s think of it as an exercise in economies of scale. Two wars are better than one… or is that three? At least it’s a simple matter of changing “Q” to “N” on all the shipping crates full of MRE’s, ammo, and body bags.)

Cirincione called some of the Administration’s claims about Iran “questionable” or lacking in evidence. When I spoke to him, he asked, “What do we know? What is the threat? The question is: How urgent is all this?” The answer, he said, “is in the intelligence community and the I.A.E.A.” (In August, the Washington Post reported that the most recent comprehensive National Intelligence Estimate predicted that Iran was a decade away from being a nuclear power.)

Last year, the Bush Administration briefed I.A.E.A. officials on what it said was new and alarming information about Iran’s weapons program which had been retrieved from an Iranian’s laptop. The new data included more than a thousand pages of technical drawings of weapons systems. The Washington Post reported that there were also designs for a small facility that could be used in the uranium-enrichment process. Leaks about the laptop became the focal point of stories in the Times and elsewhere. The stories were generally careful to note that the materials could have been fabricated, but also quoted senior American officials as saying that they appeared to be legitimate. The headline in the Times’ account read, “RELYING ON COMPUTER, U.S. SEEKS TO PROVE IRAN’S NUCLEAR AIMS.”

I was told in interviews with American and European intelligence officials, however, that the laptop was more suspect and less revelatory than it had been depicted. The Iranian who owned the laptop had initially been recruited by German and American intelligence operatives, working together. The Americans eventually lost interest in him. The Germans kept on, but the Iranian was seized by the Iranian counter-intelligence force. It is not known where he is today. Some family members managed to leave Iran with his laptop and handed it over at a U.S. embassy, apparently in Europe. It was a classic “walk-in.”

A European intelligence official said, “There was some hesitation on our side” about what the materials really proved, “and we are still not convinced.” The drawings were not meticulous, as newspaper accounts suggested, “but had the character of sketches,” the European official said. “It was not a slam-dunk smoking gun.”

…(Really, that boondoggle idea is looking better and better. Or the milk is starting to fight the dark, dark chocolate.)

The adviser went on, “If we go, the southern half of Iraq will light up like a candle.” The American, British, and other coalition forces in Iraq would be at greater risk of attack from Iranian troops or from Shiite militias operating on instructions from Iran. (Iran, which is predominantly Shiite, has close ties to the leading Shiite parties in Iraq.) A retired four-star general told me that, despite the eight thousand British troops in the region, “the Iranians could take Basra with ten mullahs and one sound truck.”

“If you attack,” the high-ranking diplomat told me in Vienna, “Ahmadinejad will be the new Saddam Hussein of the Arab world, but with more credibility and more power. You must bite the bullet and sit down with the Iranians.”

The diplomat went on, “There are people in Washington who would be unhappy if we found a solution. They are still banking on isolation and regime change. This is wishful thinking.” He added, “The window of opportunity is now.”

When I first started reading this story, I was listening to a poetry special on WBEZ that didn’t help matters any, because it featured a performance artist/musician/poet who did an anti-war piece on the steps of the Utah Capitol at a recent peace rally, wearing a white gas mask, banging an artillery shell with a hammer, and gasping for air into a mike as two women in blue burkhas whirled on either side of him (some photos of Alex performing the same piece at another event are here). And some of the other poetry readings really got under my skin, too. Many of them sounded like neo-Beats, and some of them were political like Alex’s piece. Creepy, but comforting to know that subversive art is not dead.

If we use nukes in Iran for real, the streets will be full of the outraged citizenry here in America, and the uncategorically weird performance artists will probably be in the first ranks. Me, I’ll be bringing up the rear with a stash of chocolate, and wondering about the weather in Toronto.

Related Articles: Washington Post